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McCain APPEARS to be Winning Florida

October 30, 2008

As far as early voting goes, it appears that McCain has taken the lead in Florida.  Florida Today provides the following:

Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early.

“We’re thrilled at the record turnout so far,” said Democratic Party of Florida spokesman Eric Jotkoff. “It’s a clear indication that Democrats want to elect Barack Obama and Democrats up and down the ballot so that we can start creating good jobs, rebuilding our economy and getting our nation back on track.”

But party breakdowns for turnout aren’t the same as final tallies, and at least one poll offered a different view for the campaign of Republican John McCain.

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.

And Republicans continued to show a traditional strength, leading 50 percent to the Democrats’ 30 percent in the 1.2 million absentee ballots already returned.

In 2004, 7.5 million votes were cast in Florida, presumably not including Mickey Mouse. This bodes well for us as the Democrat GOTV effort has been enormous as well as the Schlep the vote. If the Khalidi quotes turn out to be true or the innuendo surrounding them spreads, we may see a huge groundswell towards McCain in Florida. Unfortunately though, Florida only shows trends for Florida. On the other hand, if Pennsylvania breaks for us, Ohio is most definitely McCained.

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